Date of Award
Spring 4-27-2018
Document Type
Honors Project
Degree Name
Bachelor of Science
Department
Mathematics
Department Chair or Program Director
Helmstutler, Randall
First Advisor
Denhere, Melody
Second Advisor
Hydorn, Debra
Third Advisor
Esunge, Julius N.
Major or Concentration
Mathematics
Abstract
This paper concerns forecasting the performance of the S/V Zodiac, a two-masted schooner operating as a public and private charter vessel out of Bellingham, Washington. Two aspects of performance are discussed, namely the business cycle of the Zodiac and the operating efficiency of the Zodiac. For the business cycle, it is found that the best model for the business cycle is the one-year-ahead plan developed for the vessel in or around November each year. As for the operating efficiency, an original model is developed from techniques used for forecasting power outputs of wind farms and individual wind turbines. This model uses probabilistic methods to generate a weekly “efficiency measure” of the S/V Zodiac that may be used comparatively.
Recommended Citation
Darron, Henry, "An Analysis of Efficiency Measures of the S/V Zodiac" (2018). Student Research Submissions. 253.
https://scholar.umw.edu/student_research/253