Date of Award
Spring 5-5-2020
Document Type
Honors Project
Degree Name
Bachelor of Science
Department
Mathematics
Department Chair or Program Director
Helmstutler, Randall
First Advisor
Esunge, Julius
Second Advisor
Sumner, Suzanne
Third Advisor
Denhere, Melody
Major or Concentration
Mathematics
Abstract
In this project, I analyze a mathematical model for the spread of an epidemic using techniques from statistics, probability, and differential equations to track and test the severity of an epidemic. I focus on chlamydia and use 2018 data from the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention which includes prevalence in all genders and ages within the United States. I manipulated MATLAB code for the analysis. The results are examined to understand the stochastic processes which capture the epidemic model. With this understanding, we can map the disease and raise awareness in the populations that are prone to infection, in an effort to change the outcome and rapid spread of disease.
Recommended Citation
Bernhardt, Abigail Eleanor, "Markov Chain Model for the Spread of an Epidemic" (2020). Student Research Submissions. 329.
https://scholar.umw.edu/student_research/329