Date of Award
Winter 12-14-2024
Document Type
Honors Project
Degree Name
Bachelor of Science
Department
Mathematics
Department Chair or Program Director
Esunge, Julius
First Advisor
Hydorn, Debra
Major or Concentration
Mathematics
Abstract
The Wins Above Replacement (WAR) statistic in Major League Baseball is a prominent metric used to estimate player value by quantifying all aspects of play in terms of wins added to a baseball team. We will use R to calculate WAR for all players from 1871 to 2012 and use data from those years to construct multivariate predictive models to attempt to estimate WAR for players from 2013 to 2024. We find strong correlations between predicted and actual WAR values for most models, with the exception of the polynomial predictive model for non-qualified pitchers.
Recommended Citation
Taylor, Joshua, "Calculation and Statistical Analysis of Wins Above Replacement" (2024). Student Research Submissions. 612.
https://scholar.umw.edu/student_research/612
Included in
Algebra Commons, Applied Statistics Commons, Data Science Commons, Multivariate Analysis Commons, Numerical Analysis and Scientific Computing Commons, Other Mathematics Commons, Programming Languages and Compilers Commons, Statistical Models Commons
